0:00
index investing secret to financial
0:04
success or should we still be using the
0:06
active guys it's Brian breasted the
0:09
money guy index investing versus active
0:13
management
0:13
this is seems like it's one of those
0:15
battles that you can go find a gazillion
0:17
articles on it and every time I read an
0:19
article on index investing where they
0:22
try to compare and contrast to active
0:24
management it's always lacking in detail
0:28
and so I've tried to create an analysis
0:31
that gives detail but here's the other
0:34
thing I'm actually not going to
0:35
completely throw the active managers
0:37
under the bus I mean I think that there
0:39
are is still a time and a place for a
0:42
section of your investments with active
0:45
management but I will tell you I do feel
0:47
like the battle has been decided in
0:49
several asset classes do you agree or
0:51
disagree no I do agree and I think
0:54
what's interesting is this bat I mean it
0:55
was what Bogle who came up with the
0:58
first idea of this index fund and so
1:00
they've been around for a long time and
1:02
even it seems like since the inception
1:03
the fight for them has gotten stronger
1:06
and stronger and stronger it almost
1:08
sounds like you're willing to lay the
1:09
claim now the war has been won the
1:12
battle is over yeah I mean it let me
1:14
give you some stats I you know I love me
1:16
some numbers that way everybody out
1:19
there and money guy land can see we
1:21
actually do some research and we don't
1:23
just start jibber jabbering on here so
1:25
in 2017 that's the most recent data that
1:27
I could find because this stuff comes
1:29
out around April May so we won't get the
1:32
2018 data for a few more months but in
1:35
2017 US investors poured four hundred
1:38
and seventy billion into passive equity
1:40
strategies during the same time period
1:42
there's an outflow of a hundred and
1:44
seventy five billion dollars from active
1:46
management so if you look at add those
1:48
two together you can see we're getting
1:49
close to seven hundred billion dollars
1:51
spread between what's coming and what's
1:53
going truly amazing passive investments
1:56
account for almost forty five percent of
1:58
all equity assets and the u.s. mutual
2:00
funds and ETFs and if you think about
2:03
this that makes complete sense with the
2:05
progression of transition to 401k or
2:08
self-directed retirement plans and then
2:11
people using you know target retirement
2:14
index funds these things are all
2:15
interrelated it's just it's amazing to
2:17
me to think about hat cuz it hasn't
2:19
always been half I mean you think about
2:21
when we used to work with clients you
2:22
know ten years ago we'd look at their
2:24
401k investment options there wouldn't
2:25
be a ton of indexes in there now we look
2:28
at them and we are kind of seeing more
2:30
so it's definitely but something that's
2:31
got become more prevalent over the last
2:33
decade I said a show on this it's been a
2:37
few years I can't remember dates I
2:39
probably should have looked it up that'd
2:40
have been a good exercise that we did
2:42
this is before we started being on
2:43
YouTube this was more of a podcast well
2:47
I think it was my stat was 70 the seat
2:49
your top secret weapon for financial
2:51
success that seventy percent of the
2:53
populations not using yeah at the time
2:55
it was talking about index funds but you
2:58
know now I would say we're probably
3:00
close to you know definitely majority to
3:03
half of the people who are using index
3:06
funds and you're starting to see it now
3:08
is that leads to who's the fifty five
3:10
percent still an active manager yes of
3:12
half the people are doing it that means
3:13
half the people aren't doing it I always
3:16
think there's a lot of brokers out there
3:20
and this is something because I know a
3:22
lot of people if you're watching the
3:23
money got show you're probably doing
3:24
index funds right but that doesn't mean
3:26
you don't have friends you don't have
3:29
parents who might be a little more
3:31
traditional and they got their you know
3:33
the guy who shows up in the the code
3:35
Utah you know has the mahogany bookcases
3:38
walk in he smell the the rich wood and
3:42
leather that's in there though they're
3:43
lobbying and you go in there and you
3:45
wonder are they buying index funds here
3:48
and probably not right because a lot of
3:50
your commission base or old guard
3:52
brokers or even fee-based they have some
3:56
issues doing index funds because their
3:58
platforms just don't support it or
4:01
they're buying what we like to call
4:02
closet index funds which is even worse
4:04
thing we'll talk about that necessarily
4:07
critique you if you are with a
4:10
commission person or you got a relative
4:11
with a commission person and I'm not
4:13
gonna pick on them too much ask the
4:15
Commission person what they're actually
4:16
using their money with I will tell you
4:18
we we buy index funds for ourselves and
4:20
we do it for our clients because I think
4:22
that there's a reason these things are
4:24
taking over the world and you have
4:26
to pay attention to that and I also have
4:28
to be careful the platforms for a lot of
4:30
these Commission guys they will they've
4:33
caught on that indexing is catching
4:35
passive equity management is - catching
4:37
on so they've created their own
4:39
Frankenstein's broad version of these
4:42
things but I found when I was doing
4:43
research from the investment company
4:45
Institute that's the company comes out
4:46
every year with a lot of really detailed
4:48
data on flows the difference between
4:50
active management and you know an
4:52
indexing they said that they actually
4:54
had on their list of index funds there's
4:55
an index fund that has an internal
4:57
expense of 1.53 percent that that's
5:00
unbelievable to me because what's really
5:01
interesting is I'm looking at the live
5:03
chat right now Brian so if you're
5:04
someone out there who's not lose
5:05
listening and you're not in a live chat
5:07
you should go do it because it's a lot
5:08
of fun and somebody just asked this and
5:10
I promise they've not seen my show notes
5:11
but they said hey anyone have FX AIX and
5:15
you may not know what that is but that's
5:16
the just large cap S&P 500 offering from
5:19
fidelity the cost of that fund is point
5:22
zero one five percent so the one that
5:25
you just threw out there that's an index
5:28
fund that's one point father it's a
5:30
hundred times more expensive than
5:33
fidelity's offering which is really
5:35
fifty three times it's mind-blowing
5:37
yeah I mean that's that's what's crazy
5:38
it to be careful and I will tell you I
5:40
ran into you know there's the insurance
5:42
company that all the military families
5:44
are associated with I don't want to get
5:45
brand names but I think everybody knows
5:47
who I'm talking about they had an index
5:48
fund and it's still well over 20 basis
5:51
points I'm still it's a good in I don't
5:53
want it I'm not picking on that because
5:54
but it's just when you compare it to
5:56
point zero one point zero one five
5:58
that's right that you pick up I feel
5:59
horrible for picking on them for being
6:01
in the 20 basis points but it still is
6:03
20 times more expensive so it's
6:04
something to pay attention to and
6:06
truthfully a lot of this guys is so
6:08
exciting because it's technology and
6:09
innovation and then just as price war
6:12
between fidelity Schwab and and Vanguard
6:15
just beaten their heads in to try to get
6:18
the lowest cost products out there and
6:20
we are the beneficiaries of that think
6:21
about we did a show on fidelity zero
6:24
funds that have zero cost to get into
6:26
them zero minimums and then they have
6:29
zero internal expenses ongoing cost it's
6:31
it's crazy the world we live in so take
6:34
advantage of some of these opportunities
6:36
that are coming our way so now I want to
6:38
transition the show to
6:39
are these things good for your portfolio
6:43
in your investment strategy and is I
6:47
mean is there any reason to not just
6:49
have all right photos because I mean
6:51
obviously you know this it sounds like
6:53
we're sharing our opinion we like index
6:55
funds better so we thought well rather
6:56
than just sharing our opinion of that
6:59
let's look at some actual heart because
7:01
there's some data out there and I would
7:03
make the argument it's some pretty
7:04
compelling data that should influence
7:06
your decision one way or the other but
7:08
hang around all you active people out
7:10
there hang around to the end because we
7:11
are going to tell you the exceptions to
7:13
the rule because I don't want people to
7:15
think well man why don't we just do
7:17
everything in index funds because we
7:19
know we also know we have clients that
7:20
are in these chapters right and I want
7:23
them to know that we really are trying
7:24
to walk the walk on all sides of this so
7:27
let's kind of jump into this I like to
7:31
look at if you go to s P IV a speedo
7:36
it's it's actually it's the standard and
7:38
poors compiles all this data of how
7:41
because you can imagine they have they
7:43
have a dog in that hunt and the fact
7:44
that they have all these index funds
7:47
ETFs and mutual funds that they that
7:50
they represent plus you gotta realize
7:51
anybody who calls it the S&P 500 they're
7:54
probably getting got a little bit of the
7:55
royalty off of that so I just pulled me
7:58
you notice look let me go ahead and tell
8:01
you guys because I saw it in the
8:01
comments last time we are going to have
8:05
a monitor in the new studio so I can
8:07
quit holding up stuff I've heard you
8:09
loud and clear so if you'll put up with
8:11
us while we're getting the new studio
8:12
built out but this is just United States
8:15
everybody who's out there listening the
8:17
podcast
8:18
was he talking about if you're watching
8:19
this on youtube you know what I'm
8:20
talking about he's literally holding up
8:22
sheets of paper this is from the Spiegel
8:25
website this is just the United States
8:27
you see there's two pages worth of data
8:29
of different indices that they have just
8:32
here in the United States and I was
8:34
looking no this is both this is both
8:36
equity and then the second page is fixed
8:38
income but let's talk about the numbers
8:41
and this is all as of June 30th so it
8:43
doesn't even have the horrible fourth
8:45
quarter of 2018 but this is the most
8:48
recent data that they had on their
8:49
website and you know did you mention
8:52
what's peva stands for
8:53
I think it's the acronym because in my
8:56
haste of show preparation right tell
8:58
them what it's it's the SP indices
9:00
versus active management so their whole
9:02
entire study is laid out that way how do
9:05
the indices perform relative to the
9:07
active manage and they update this
9:09
consistently that's right a great place
9:10
to go look at data and process it so
9:14
here's it let's go through some of these
9:15
actual asset classes I thought this
9:17
would be interesting for everybody large
9:19
cap large caps interesting because
9:22
that's the S&P 500 the percentage of
9:26
funds that meaning active managers that
9:28
underperform the benchmark meaning the
9:30
S&P 500 or large cap 5-year seventy six
9:35
point four nine percent so so 3/4 3/4 of
9:40
active of active fund managers
9:43
underperformed just buying the benchmark
9:46
over five year period if you think that
9:47
there's just a fluke that that five year
9:50
there's probably different if you look
9:52
at the three year it's close to seventy
9:54
nine percent I guess we could say over
9:56
the last year back as of June 30th now
9:59
I'm sure it's got blown up with December
10:01
it's it was 63 percent but still I
10:04
always like looking at the five year
10:06
data sure because it's a little longer a
10:07
little more you know a little more
10:09
knowledge there in Tom Pass small cap
10:11
value you know small cap value I will
10:14
tell you this one kind of shocked me
10:15
because forever I was buying the S&P 500
10:19
and anybody who's been a client firm on
10:21
for over a decade knows that I've always
10:23
loved index investing because of and
10:26
I'll get into the benefits in a minute
10:27
but always felt like that was an
10:30
efficient market case small cap I
10:33
considered somewhat inefficient because
10:35
you had all these different small
10:37
companies and unless they were in your
10:39
neck of the woods you wouldn't know
10:40
about them
10:40
but guys the data has changed on this
10:43
small cap value if you look at the
10:48
five-year a hundred percent of active
10:51
managers underperformed the benchmark so
10:54
in this study there was not one single
10:56
small cap value active manager that
10:58
performed better than the S&P small cap
11:01
value small cap 600 alyou exactly
11:03
according to a scoring to speed on I
11:05
mean I
11:05
pretty incredible and this is one I'm
11:07
telling you if you diaspore on press
11:10
then ten years ago I would have said no
11:11
go by the sp500 on large-cap but that's
11:15
an efficient marketplace but in that
11:16
inefficient marketplace like small cap
11:18
or international that's where you should
11:20
buy go buy go buy an active manager
11:22
because they can still probably get you
11:23
some alpha there the data is not showing
11:26
that anymore let's transition to bonds
11:30
bonds Bo you like this because you did I
11:34
can tell you how being a CFA it Christ
11:37
scares you you know it scares me a
11:39
little bit well you know everything is
11:40
done not by there's not you came out
11:44
smart analytics a calculation you like
11:46
to think especially when you get a CFA
11:48
and all these things and you see people
11:49
you know but you might have seen on
11:51
YouTube some of the commercials I've
11:53
noticed on our YouTube channel are
11:55
people out there pushing these trading
11:56
strategies and all this stuff and I'm
11:58
like it makes you as humans we want to
12:01
think we're smarter than just going
12:03
along to get along with the system right
12:05
but the data doesn't always support that
12:07
but I give you a little reprieve with
12:08
bonds because investment-grade
12:10
short-term bonds because who wants to be
12:12
buying midterm or long-term intermediate
12:15
or long-term bonds and a rising interest
12:17
rate environment five-year average forty
12:20
percent so the majority of active
12:22
managers actually outperform the
12:24
investment grade indices sixty percent
12:26
always like to apply a little common
12:28
sense when I talk about taxes or when I
12:30
talk about investing I like to apply
12:31
common sense to the government with the
12:34
quantitative easing distorted so much of
12:37
the bond market place with Treasuries I
12:41
mean they were just so many Treasury
12:42
bills were being purchased it makes
12:44
sense that the end of indices were kind
12:46
of skewed a little bit yeah and when you
12:48
when you think about it at least my
12:50
perception of the fixed income market
12:52
place's when we were in a declining
12:53
interest rate environment really since
12:55
like the late 1970s it wasn't really
12:57
hard to make money on bonds because you
12:59
know it's like a seesaw when intranets
13:01
go down the value of bonds go up and
13:03
vice versa so as interest rates have
13:05
been going down it used to be really
13:07
easy you could just go buy a total bond
13:09
market index and it would perform pretty
13:11
well for you now that we're entering
13:13
into a rising rate environment and
13:14
nobody knows the speed at which rates
13:17
are gonna change or if they're going to
13:19
continue
13:19
moving in the same direction I do think
13:21
that there are individuals out there who
13:22
can navigate that marketplace better
13:24
than just the market cap weighted index
13:26
Justin that that one was for you
13:29
well here's let me give there is one
13:32
where the speed data shows that the
13:34
index still does better and this makes
13:35
sense government short-term fixed income
13:37
over the other one investment grade
13:39
means these are private companies this
13:41
is going and buying corporate bonds and
13:42
so forth but government short-term the
13:45
five year average is 58.62 percent of
13:49
active managers underperform the indices
13:53
yep so that's that's interesting and
13:55
then let's go ahead and let's let's
13:56
shift over to international because I
13:58
told you this is something I've had to
14:00
shift my mindset on in the last five to
14:03
seven years is that Melissa this oh and
14:06
I just took this right from the speed of
14:08
research over the one three five ten and
14:10
fifteen year investment horizon so it
14:12
encompassed at all managers across all
14:15
international equity categories
14:17
underperform their benchmarks
14:19
furthermore the longer the time horizon
14:22
in general the more funds underperform
14:24
that's right but I can hear people
14:27
already saying yeah yeah but but that's
14:29
not but there were some funds that
14:31
outperformed I mean everyone in that
14:32
small cap when it wasn't a hundred
14:34
percent so all I have to do is be able
14:36
to find those funds on outperform it and
14:39
yeah that's true but that's a really
14:41
difficult exercise over the long term
14:43
because you might be able to pick a fund
14:45
that does really well this year but do
14:46
you have confidence that that's gonna be
14:48
the same fund company or fund manager
14:50
that's gonna do well the next year and
14:51
the following and the following so when
14:53
you're designing a portfolio and
14:55
building out your individual pieces you
14:56
kind of have to think through that while
14:58
you may get lucky once right is it
15:02
likely that same managers gonna have the
15:03
same track record moving forward and I
15:05
think you have to be careful it's when
15:07
you get into the data there's also
15:08
what's called survivorship bias is that
15:10
we all guide to go look at some of these
15:12
funds and there are some really great
15:14
long-term active management funds but
15:17
here's the dirty little secret of active
15:19
management is that over five to seven
15:21
years underperforming funds get merged
15:23
into better performing funds so that the
15:25
long-term good performance kind of gets
15:28
bolstered even for the laggards the
15:30
laggards just kind of disappear it's as
15:32
I said survivorship
15:33
is that you have to be careful when
15:35
you're reviewing the statistics of
15:37
active versus the index funds
15:39
let's talk about why our index funds so
15:42
successful first cost that's mean if
15:47
it's cheaper you're getting to keep that
15:49
money in your back pocket well it's just
15:50
naturally it's i think of low-cost being
15:53
like a head start in the investment
15:54
world right so like if you're gonna be
15:57
it's 50 basis points cheaper than an
15:59
active manager that active manager
16:01
immediately has to perform 50 basis
16:03
points better just to break even so
16:05
that's a huge hurdle to have to get over
16:06
right there from Jump Street and that's
16:08
what let's go through so many stats
16:09
because I realize the way that the
16:11
investment comes see I see I the
16:13
investment company Institute publishes
16:15
this annual data is they use what's
16:17
called an asset weighted average meaning
16:19
that they're already giving both
16:21
categories the benefit of the doubt by
16:23
skewing the number down based upon what
16:27
the most successful funds are and for
16:29
both active and for the index funds the
16:31
most successful funds are sometimes some
16:32
of the more cost effective or cheaper
16:35
phones out there so Melissa these
16:37
weighted averages though for expense
16:40
ratios for active management 1996 it was
16:43
1.08 percent so the average internal
16:46
expense ratio of an actively managed
16:48
mutual fund at the end of the 98 a verge
16:50
because the average was actually
16:51
probably closer to one and a half
16:53
percent okay so I was late so it's like
16:56
I said they gave it benefit of the doubt
16:58
for the ones because the more successful
17:00
funds are the cheaper funds they waited
17:03
it so it's 1996 is one point zero eight
17:06
percent 2017 point seven eight percent
17:09
so pretty significant drop almost
17:10
cutting a quarter yeah so listen this
17:12
index funds and by the way I remember
17:14
when Vanguard and you thought you were
17:16
getting a deal and you said you were
17:18
when when Vanguard and fidelity in them
17:20
and their internal expenses of their
17:22
index funds were in the 20 30 basis
17:24
points range so 1996 index funds were
17:27
point two seven percent so already it's
17:30
just still way less expensive even than
17:32
present-day active funds twenty
17:34
seventeen point zero nine percent I mean
17:37
it cut cut in a third not a 30 percent
17:40
drop but literally cut in a third and
17:42
then I you know and I put it on here in
17:44
my notes cuz this is just me
17:45
editorializing that
17:46
point zero nine sounds cheap but there
17:49
are funds that are actually zero right
17:51
now so this this trend is not going away
17:53
imagine we're still getting pressure
17:55
because we've heard that there's funds
17:56
that are point zero one or zero
17:59
I know Vanguard's one point zero four so
18:02
unless you're over certain threshold and
18:03
it's point zero one it's just crazy how
18:05
cheap things are so all this money that
18:07
you get to save on cost savings is
18:09
potentially money that's in your army of
18:12
dollar bills that gets to keep working
18:13
for you you get to keep it essentially
18:15
on the field or the battlefield and
18:17
working for you instead of paying some
18:19
unnecessary fees so that's the first
18:21
thing costs tip here's one I don't hear
18:24
as many people talk about and it's a big
18:26
deal tax efficiency now maybe it's
18:29
because I'll come from an accounting
18:30
back where I kind of dig this stuff and
18:32
I probably nerd it out for something
18:34
that should be a two-minute little blurb
18:36
and I actually did a lot of calculations
18:38
did you notice that when you look at the
18:39
show notes well I did notice it and I
18:41
did sort of in my mind say yeah he's a
18:43
super nerd that's true but here's what I
18:45
love about you dude that when it comes
18:47
to investing we don't get to pick which
18:48
way the market goes right markets gonna
18:49
go up markets gonna go down we don't get
18:51
to pick what it does we can kind of
18:53
alter our risk exposure but there are
18:55
two things that we can control and we
18:57
talk about this all the time if you want
18:58
to be a successful investor two things
19:00
that you get to control or costs what
19:02
you pay and the second one is taxes and
19:04
how tax efficient you are so I think
19:06
even though you nerd it out on it I
19:07
think it makes a lot of sense well what
19:09
I talk about tax efficiency let's talk
19:11
about the difference between active
19:12
management versus index investors and
19:14
what they do there's this thing called
19:15
turnover ratio and it's not uncommon for
19:18
active managers because they're always
19:20
trying to find that you know they're
19:21
trying to do the buy low sell high so
19:23
they're making decisions and they got
19:25
machines and computers and artificial
19:28
intelligence running all these different
19:30
type of algorithms hopefully trying to
19:32
create that great alpha you know better
19:35
rate of return right so every time you
19:37
do that you're creating a transaction
19:39
well there's cost to the transaction but
19:41
then also every time you is in a taxable
19:43
account you do those transaction that's
19:45
a taxable event yep so those are things
19:47
that are going to have to be distributed
19:48
out to the shareholders if you're doing
19:51
an active management mutual fund index
19:55
funds here's what happens with them
19:58
you'll have an old company
20:00
like let's think about like Kodak Kodak
20:03
at some point was on an index oh yeah
20:05
but then you know is is we quit using
20:08
cameras and we start using our phone
20:10
Kodak gets pushed off the industry you
20:12
know it's no longer on the sp500 right
20:15
or whatever so they they make room and
20:17
they put you know Google and Apple or
20:19
some of you know whatever the high flyer
20:21
that's you know the new company that's
20:23
replaced the old company well that's not
20:25
that much turnover that's right so you
20:26
might see you know a two percent
20:29
turnover just because you don't have a
20:32
lot of companies changing over and
20:33
that's all the changes in the index so
20:35
it's not a lot of buying and selling or
20:37
turnover and there's not a lot of
20:39
transactions that create taxes so let's
20:43
talk about what that looks like because
20:44
I knew when I tried to explain it I was
20:46
like that's not gonna hit everybody so
20:48
let's actually put this into an
20:49
illustration that people understand so
20:52
what I did was I went and pulled the 25
20:54
largest u.s. mutual funds and I love you
20:57
to this again in the live chat you're
20:59
about to say once somebody's already
21:00
thrown that name out here in the water I
21:02
just think it's beautiful
21:03
we don't give recommendations on the
21:05
show that's just not the things we don't
21:06
know you as an individual we don't know
21:08
your age we don't know your risk
21:10
tolerance and it just be inappropriate
21:12
but we'd love to know you and your age
21:14
and your risk tolerance so if you're
21:15
looking for I'm just so so how do we
21:18
have so what I did was I chose the 25
21:20
biggest because that's the easiest way
21:22
for us to go choose somebody to use as a
21:23
case study so the number number 19 on
21:26
the 25 largest cuz realize a lot of
21:28
these are index funds so I'd to go a
21:30
ways down where to find actual active
21:33
managers are in the top 25 number 19 was
21:36
the fidelity contra fund and very
21:37
popular phone it's one we're very
21:39
familiar with guys an expense ratio of
21:41
0.74% just to give everybody kind of an
21:44
update of what's going on but listen
21:45
we're talking about tax efficiency in
21:47
this section so in 2018 they had two big
21:50
distributions they had one on twelve
21:52
seven was the record date and then
21:54
february 9th if you added both those up
21:57
the one at the end of the year was 7.2
21:59
percent the one on february 9th was one
22:01
and a half percent of net asset value if
22:04
you added those two together it was a
22:05
distribution in the year 2018 of
22:07
approximately eight point seven percent
22:09
of net asset value so what that
22:12
essentially says is that
22:13
eight point seven percent of the value
22:15
of your holding was was released to you
22:18
in a taxable distribution somebody who
22:20
has a hundred thousand dollars of
22:22
fidelity contra fund would get an eighty
22:25
seven hundred dollar tax taxable
22:28
distribution it's a you know it wouldn't
22:30
be all taxes right right it would be
22:32
income that would be included so that
22:33
leads to the next one number 21 on the
22:36
list of top 25 is American Funds Growth
22:38
Fund of America ticker symbol AG th X
22:43
their expense ratio by the way is 0.62
22:46
percent and they distribute it out in
22:48
twenty eighteen twelve and a half
22:50
percent twelve and a half that's big
22:53
so same example you have somebody has a
22:54
hundred thousand dollars invested in the
22:56
Growth Fund of America that's twelve and
22:59
a half thousand dollars of taxable
23:01
income they're going to have to put on
23:02
their tax return so so pay attention to
23:05
that so then we go and we look at well
23:07
what's the what's the number one index
23:08
fund what's the Vanguard 500 index
23:12
Admiral share V FIA X that's the largest
23:15
in size I said okay by the way it's the
23:18
internal expense ratio is point zero
23:20
four per so again just a fraction of the
23:22
two I did they did have as the Admiral
23:24
show they did have a footnote that if
23:25
you were over a certain size that went
23:27
down to point zero one okay I didn't
23:29
write down what that was but if you
23:31
added up therefore what I thought was
23:33
interesting is these distribute
23:34
distributions were paid out quarterly
23:36
those are probably dividends and other
23:37
things being paid out which might have a
23:39
more favorable tax treatment anyway but
23:41
just apples apples the total comes out
23:44
to be one point nine one percent and I
23:46
want to I want to clarify something here
23:48
Bryce because you just said one of the
23:49
funds paid out twelve point five percent
23:51
and what the other paid out one point
23:53
nine one percent that's not rate of
23:55
return that's not like one fund may
23:57
twelve and a half percent the other made
23:59
one point nine one that's not what
24:00
you're suggesting
24:01
yeah there's taxable distributions
24:03
mutual fund companies at the end of the
24:05
year will have huge asset they have
24:07
distributions that come out you're like
24:09
well that's good I like all that extra
24:11
income I'd like to have twelve and a
24:12
half percent
24:13
what you don't realize they actually
24:14
lower the price right of what the shares
24:17
trade at to bring it down you basically
24:19
just get the tax but that's it you're
24:21
not you're not actually making money on
24:22
that you are breaking even and paying
24:24
the tax so it don't
24:26
don't fall prey to that because that's a
24:28
great point bone I'm glad you clarified
24:29
that so it's more of this is what you're
24:32
going to pay taxes on it's an embedded
24:33
gains that's why we always like I'll
24:35
tell you that this is not my show notes
24:37
when we go through like a crisis like
24:40
2008-2009 I can remember when we one of
24:42
the things key stats we look at in
24:44
portfolio design was how much in
24:47
deferred losses and I built into the
24:49
these mutual funds because you could buy
24:51
into a mutual fund that had a 30%
24:53
deferred loss because of the downturn of
24:56
the Great Recession that's awesome
24:58
because that means that your fund can
25:00
make a lot of gains before that manager
25:02
is going to start distributing those
25:05
gains from you the shareholder there's a
25:07
30% headstart in there that's right it
25:09
works the same way when we're in a
25:11
really good period of market where you
25:13
might have deferred gains that are
25:15
sitting imbedded gains that are sitting
25:17
within your mutual funds that even
25:19
though you buy it you're gonna pay tax
25:21
on that money when it's divvied out to
25:23
you even though you didn't participate
25:24
in that gains right and and and that's
25:26
that's something you need to be very
25:28
aware of but going back to my $100,000
25:30
example there's a huge difference
25:32
between twelve thousand five hundred for
25:36
the Growth Fund of America eighty seven
25:38
hundred dollars for the contra fund and
25:39
then there was the Vanguard S&P 500 fund
25:42
at $1,900 right if you look at the tax
25:45
impact the 12,500 is probably is going
25:48
to generate and I just did 15 per serve
25:50
Airy conservative fifteen percent that's
25:52
eighteen hundred and seventy five
25:54
dollars of taxes the 8700 is thirteen
25:57
hundred and five dollars in taxes
25:59
meanwhile that index fund is only
26:01
generate two hundred eighty five dollars
26:03
in taxes and remember the less that you
26:05
pay in tax the more you like to keep
26:07
your money working the more the more
26:09
soldiers you keep in your army of dollar
26:11
bills so we've got it's caught it costs
26:13
significantly less there's significantly
26:16
more tax efficient meaning that's more
26:18
money in your back pocket the third
26:20
thing I'd written out on why index funds
26:22
do so well is that the behavior and
26:24
structure of large 401ks I mean we've
26:27
got a pile on fashion right now we are
26:30
getting we're totally getting the the
26:32
benefits of economies of scale is that
26:33
they are you got all this pooled money
26:35
coming in all these guaranteed millions
26:37
coming in to the market every month with
26:39
the dollar cost
26:40
of retirement plans it's just a pylon
26:42
and they're getting cheaper they're
26:44
getting cheaper and you are the
26:46
beneficiary of this so take advantage of
26:49
just the structure this is where fortune
26:51
500 companies they're not buying active
26:54
management they're usually I mean you
26:55
see oh my fidelity you see element
26:57
Vanguard
26:58
I mean when we deal with clients there
27:01
at the big gun that Stryker swab there
27:02
at fidelity and there at Vanguard
27:04
typically so how do you personally
27:07
implement this into your investment plan
27:09
that's where I wanted to transition this
27:10
into its because as I showed you guys
27:13
and bear with me I know I don't have it
27:15
on the monitor that we'll have in the
27:16
next studio but this is just the United
27:20
States you see equity has a full page
27:22
bonds has a full page an international
27:24
Co probably fill up three pages with all
27:26
the the indices that you could invest in
27:29
so if I'm the average investor who you
27:31
watch this show because you like
27:32
personal finance content but you don't
27:35
have a degree in it you haven't studied
27:36
this and you're so worried about
27:37
screwing it up like how do I choose
27:40
which one's this material when Theory
27:43
index investing was supposed to make it
27:45
easier right like oh I'm just gonna be
27:46
in the next investor I'll go buy one or
27:47
two things but like you said there are
27:49
hundreds of index indices now it's kind
27:52
of hard to even sift through all that
27:54
even if you know you want to be an index
27:55
investor you could end up with the
27:56
analysis paralysis of too many good
27:59
choices that you just don't know what to
28:02
do so what we've tried to would always
28:04
tell people to do is you look at this
28:06
research it's daunting and you're trying
28:08
to figure it out instead of trying to
28:09
choose one fund there's this new trend
28:12
that's been really successful and we've
28:14
seen lots of opportunity here target
28:16
retirement funds and everybody every
28:18
provider whether they like Vanguard with
28:20
their target retirement funds fidelity
28:22
freedom index funds they build entire
28:25
retirement portfolios or
28:27
target retirement you don't have to just
28:29
be for retirement use these for
28:30
education planning use them for all kind
28:32
of purposes you choose the year that you
28:35
think you want to have the option to
28:37
retire I didn't say you had to retire
28:39
but you want the option to retire and
28:40
then that fund is going to be very
28:43
aggressive in the beginning but as you
28:45
get closer to that retirement data self
28:47
chosen retirement data financial
28:49
independence they there's going to be
28:50
this glide path that makes it more and
28:52
more conservative
28:53
for you and the good news is it does all
28:55
the heavy lifting for you so you can
28:57
focus on the behavior that's actually
28:59
wealth building which is saving and and
29:01
because you've talked about it before
29:03
beau is rate of return or how much you
29:06
save more important when you start out
29:07
yeah when you start out and you're just
29:08
sort of getting your doll army of dollar
29:10
bills going the amount with you of which
29:13
you save your savings rate is gonna be
29:15
exponentially more important than your
29:18
rate of return because you saving ten
29:20
percent of your income early on is
29:23
probably a lot more money than you
29:25
making ten percent on the money you have
29:27
invested so until that switches and we
29:29
think that that switches somewhere
29:31
around the two hundred and fifty three
29:33
hundred thousand dollar ranges when it
29:34
makes sense to like shift that focus you
29:36
really just thought have you focused on
29:37
how much am i saving how much my saving
29:39
how much my saving and target-date funds
29:41
are a great solution there yeah I mean
29:43
the thing first I want to give some
29:44
statistics because I had the research I
29:47
hate to waste a good data point if I if
29:49
I've already done the research
29:50
internal expenses in 2008 on target
29:53
retirement funds was 0.67
29:55
at the end of 2017 is 0.44 so they're
29:58
also benefiting from all this money
29:59
flowing into it but Bo you said
30:01
something really key there so if I'm if
30:03
I'm a person watching this show or
30:05
listening this show I'm thinking index
30:07
funds hung the moon essentially I mean
30:09
you start going wait a minute why
30:11
wouldn't we just use target retirement
30:14
funds forever wouldn't we just this all
30:16
seems good so so is there is there a
30:19
reason not to just use target retirement
30:22
funds or is there a you reason not to
30:25
just use all index funds yes well you
30:27
know I think I think that when you think
30:29
about target retirement funds I think
30:31
they're a very good generalist answer
30:33
right so when you were when you're
30:34
designing a portfolio you want one fun
30:36
to do a lot of things well you want it
30:37
to handle the risk exposure well you
30:39
want it to handle international large
30:41
cap fixed income you want to do a lot of
30:43
things well well our opinion is that
30:45
once you grow past a certain point your
30:47
portfolio gets to a certain size rather
30:49
than having to live inside of that
30:50
generalist portfolio you can allow your
30:53
portfolio me a specialist portfolio
30:54
we're each piece of the pizza pie does
30:57
something very specific so your index
30:59
funds whether you're using in the
31:01
indices or active managers which we'll
31:02
talk about a second are only doing fixed
31:04
income and your international is only
31:06
doing
31:07
your large caps only do in large cap
31:08
you're able to customize each one of the
31:11
different slices of your pie so they are
31:13
now specialized instead of generalized
31:15
we think that makes sense with the
31:17
portfolio if it's a critical mass where
31:18
you can really benefit from that
31:19
diversification I like it maybe it's
31:21
because I come from the Hokey County
31:23
background I love sticking it to our
31:25
favorite uncle on taxes is that once you
31:28
get to a certain size you go find that
31:30
you probably have some tax
31:31
diversification your taxable money you
31:33
have a lot of tax deferred with your
31:35
retirement plan you got some tax free
31:37
with Roth how awesome is it because the
31:40
thing is when you buy target retirement
31:41
funds which we love but we bomb in a
31:43
Roth they all look the same in the Roth
31:46
when you bomb in the taxable they look
31:47
all the same in the taxable and you bomb
31:49
in that 401k all the same there's no
31:51
break out when you get to a certain size
31:54
now we can start gaming the system from
31:56
a tax location stand that's right
31:58
meaning let's put your growth assets in
32:00
that Roth really let those things
32:02
turbocharged and grow you know well
32:04
beyond you know just normal things so
32:06
that's all your growth assets all the
32:08
things that generate ordinary income
32:09
like your bonds let's focus on putting
32:13
those in those tax deferred accounts
32:14
assets there go generate dividends which
32:16
have their own favorable tax treatment
32:18
put those in the taxable account so
32:20
let's you kind of really gain the system
32:22
you can't do that unfortunately we
32:24
target our loved them push them tell
32:27
people to go do that when you're
32:28
starting out because you need to be
32:29
focusing on the behavior not on taxes
32:32
and other things but you are gonna come
32:33
to a level where your enterprise gets to
32:35
the size you got to take it to the next
32:37
level and that's where we hope that
32:39
you'll consider talking to somebody like
32:41
us because there is a graduation point
32:43
from target retirement funds but now
32:45
that leads me to what all my whole
32:48
sellers and lunch-and-learn participants
32:50
have been hoping that I would share is
32:52
Windows Active management work oh that
32:55
was a little industry humor because it's
32:56
always the active management guys that
32:58
are hosting lunch and learns to tell you
33:00
all about and then you know the
33:01
wholesaler is coming around trying to
33:02
get you to sell their buy their products
33:04
so Bo we talked about this and this is
33:06
something you added on is that you said
33:08
Brian we got it we got to share because
33:10
all the people who are in active
33:12
management this is not a completely fair
33:14
representation so welcome through
33:16
windows active management makes sense
33:18
yes so we think that it happens inside
33:19
of specialized asset
33:20
and here's what's really unique we think
33:22
that it kind of changes through time I
33:24
used a great example early in a fixed
33:26
income there was a point in time in the
33:28
not so distant future where an index
33:32
inside the fixed income market place
33:33
made a lot of sense when we were in a
33:35
reclining and and now that rates are
33:37
even rising maybe we're back there now
33:40
maybe in indices do hold a place inside
33:42
the fixed income same thing when we talk
33:44
about what's going on in international
33:46
marketplaces when you actually look at
33:47
what's going on and the countries are
33:49
the economies you're investing in if you
33:53
want to buy an index internationally
33:55
which index do you buy because there's a
33:57
bunch of difference so you have to kind
33:58
of think through what kind of portfolio
34:00
are you trying to construct or what kind
34:01
of exposure you're trying to get and
34:03
then the other place where we think
34:04
inactive management can make a lot of
34:06
sense is in the alternative space if you
34:09
have a sleeve of your portfolio like we
34:10
do when we manage that's supposed to do
34:12
something a little bit different than
34:13
just traditional stocks or bonds whether
34:15
it's a return enhancer in the portfolio
34:17
or a volatility mitigator in the
34:19
portfolio
34:20
sometimes those funds aren't perfectly
34:23
categorized by the index and you do have
34:26
to go with a more active managed fun I
34:28
like to think about more I always bring
34:29
things back to that common sense
34:30
mentality is that I know about every
34:33
other day I have one of those boxes show
34:35
up with a smile on huh I mean I we had
34:38
probably - sure oh yeah right I have the
34:40
studio stuff coming those I was telling
34:42
Morpheus off-camera that I just got
34:44
those under cabinet lights that he lasts
34:46
for in the a studio I bought those on
34:48
Amazon there's this amazon effect where
34:51
unfortunately I worry about all of our
34:54
brick and mortars and if you look at a
34:56
lot of real estate investments if you
34:57
just bind the index there's a lot of
35:00
traditional retail space on there and I
35:02
think that over the next decade you're
35:05
going to see this Amazon effect where
35:06
all of us are buying into this
35:08
convenience of having those smiling
35:10
boxes showings right and that is going
35:12
to have a direct impact on what happens
35:14
in the real estate marketplace so it
35:16
would be nice
35:17
I love index funds I love the cost
35:19
savings I love the tax efficiency but
35:21
when you know that there's something
35:24
that is going to disrupt or cause things
35:28
not work as efficiently that's the whole
35:30
purpose of in inefficient markets versus
35:32
efficient markets you have
35:34
to plan accordingly and that's why I
35:35
think active real estate does do better
35:38
with that on the horizon and active
35:40
managers they can make those judgment
35:42
calls the index can't it has to operate
35:44
inside of market capitalization or
35:46
whatever the state did in ex mandate is
35:47
so it's nice having someone who can have
35:49
that flexibility inside the portfolio
35:51
here's why I also want to close it out
35:52
with is because I don't want you because
35:54
I love a good deal but I don't want you
35:56
to and I'm going to kill the saying bow
35:58
so you have to fix it was it
36:00
penny smart pound foolish or what I came
36:03
yeah yeah yeah penny smart pal if you
36:06
have huge embedded gains in your
36:09
existing active management because
36:11
grandpa you know you know you we started
36:13
buying this because my father-in-law was
36:15
buying like the fidelity Magellan back
36:17
when he was a lot if you had one of
36:19
those and you started buying theirs and
36:20
had huge embedded gains you're not gonna
36:23
go do apple cart turnover just so you
36:25
can get that super low internal expense
36:27
ratio it doesn't make sense to pay all
36:28
those capital gains just to get in a
36:30
lower cost I'm saying maybe change your
36:32
behavior going forward but don't throw
36:34
out those active managers if you do have
36:36
some huge taxable gains that donate
36:39
those that say if you I was gonna say if
36:44
you are someone who has huge embedded
36:46
gains go listen to our show on
36:48
charitable giving from last year because
36:49
that's a great solution for a cheerful
36:51
gift fund so bow in summary I mean it
36:53
sounds like we talked a lot about we we
36:56
are we're pro in index investing and I
36:59
will tell you I think that and I think I
37:00
don't know if I can't remember if I said
37:02
this because I talked about it
37:03
appreciate this the problem with doing
37:04
live shows as we mentioned things
37:06
pre-show too I think it is the dirty
37:08
little secret for most investment
37:10
professionals even your Commission guys
37:12
are probably secretly buying index funds
37:15
so make sure you understand how index
37:17
funds work and then figure out how to
37:19
you know most effectively implement this
37:22
in your own financial portfolio and by
37:24
the way if you don't feel up to it
37:25
because you look at the three pages of
37:27
steve-o data and you're like this is for
37:29
the birds
37:30
yeah consider taking the relationship to
37:32
the next level we have this whole
37:33
abundance mentality where you come to
37:35
watch the money guy show where you come
37:37
to listen to the money pot money got
37:38
podcast and we've been doing this now
37:40
since 2006 for many people come we love
37:43
on you give you all this great free
37:45
advice all that we ask if you ever want
37:47
to pay us
37:47
back is it when you get to that level of
37:49
success when you get to 250 300,000 and
37:52
greater in assets where you can move
37:54
past the target retirements let us let
37:57
us get a look over your shoulder let us
37:58
help you out let us be help you be your
38:00
personal CFOs to make those right
38:02
decisions for your finances going
38:04
forward bow did I miss anything nah
38:06
Today Show I think you nailed it I'm
38:09
excited about 2019 you know the the last
38:11
part of the last part of the end of the
38:14
year 2018 was a little interesting it's
38:16
gonna be fun to to to watch 2019 I liked
38:20
you know we did us some shows on market
38:22
volatility there at the end and when
38:24
bear in a bear market attack attacks
38:27
yeah I love the titling but I never can
38:30
remember everything it really a lot of
38:32
you guys have shared was that it's
38:34
helped you get you through these
38:35
downturns and market cycles pay
38:37
attention to that
38:38
you know whenever you go through
38:39
downturns like what we had at the fourth
38:42
quarter bottle up the feeling you had
38:44
but then when you come out the other
38:45
side and you see it wasn't as bad as
38:46
maybe what you were feeling in the
38:48
middle of it use that as a learning
38:50
experience I tell that to every young
38:51
associate that we bring on is because
38:53
your emotions are it can be great for
38:57
finding the love of your life but they
38:59
are horrible for your wallet so don't
39:01
let your heart and your in your emotions
39:04
betray you so make smart financial
39:06
decisions keep tuning into the money guy
39:08
show if you have not subscribed to the
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39:12
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really and I hate it because all the
39:16
financial publications that rake
39:17
financial advisors and how good they are
39:19
on social media they use Twitter yeah
39:21
Wow but they do so if you're not
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definitely check us out on iTunes or
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however else and you grab podcast all
39:32
for this out there too if you're someone
39:33
just listening or you're brand new to
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39:47
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39:49
Brian Preston mr. beau handsome we're
39:51
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39:55
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39:57
one of these handy dandy tumblers just
39:58
got two more cases in so we're giving
40:00
away some tumble
40:01
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40:03
soon money got show out